Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249533           1           4          62          32           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124730           1           1          65          30           3        C5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.66408e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           100           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.00        1.50       54.25       37.50        5.75     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5