Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00260612           3           5          63          25           4        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00145766           1           1          59          33           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   2.57496e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           171           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.75       49.75       39.50        8.00     C8.8
 
realized                                                                                      X1.9