Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255415           1           3          66          28           2        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139142           1           0          60          34           5        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.08685e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           166           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.00       50.75       40.50        7.25     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M5.0