Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249963           1           4          61          33           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00129876           2           2          61          32           3        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   1.61448e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           168           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.75       49.75       41.25        6.50     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.2