Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243643           3          14          54          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115206           3           2          75          18           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.13340e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           118           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.75        4.00       51.50       35.50        7.25     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7