Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257255           1           4          65          25           5        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00131957           2           2          65          27           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   2.95577e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           134           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.50       51.75       38.00        7.75     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M9.4