Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00269356           1           2          61          34           2        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00153441           1           2          59          34           4        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.02390e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           144           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        1.50       49.25       42.00        7.00     C9.3
 
realized                                                                                      M7.4