Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00264280           1           4          62          31           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00147406           1           1          58          35           5        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.01269e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           163           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.50       49.25       41.50        7.25     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M5.0