Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00272327           1           2          63          30           4        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00162596           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   3.90587e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           160           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       52.25       39.00        7.00     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M5.3