Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00259499           3           3          64          26           4        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143152           1           1          60          32           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.49112e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           136           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.25       50.25       39.50        8.00     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7