Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255605           1           3          65          29           2        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00134962           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.04729e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.50        1.00       52.75       38.50        7.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0