Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257080           1           4          65          25           5        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139010           1           0          61          33           5        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   2.15838e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.00        1.00       56.25       34.25        7.50     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0