Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263861           1           5          62          30           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00148339           1           1          58          34           6        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.03163e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           109           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.50        1.75       51.25       39.00        7.50     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M5.5