Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00259850           3           3          63          27           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00144014           1           1          60          33           5        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.34370e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.00        1.25       51.25       38.50        8.00     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0