Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00268270           1           4          57          36           2        C6.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00152893           1           2          59          34           4        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.23236e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.25        2.00       52.00       39.25        6.50     C8.9
 
realized                                                                                      X1.3