Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258132           2           4          62          28           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00137013           1           0          63          32           4        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   2.77362e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.00        2.00       52.50       37.75        6.75     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      M5.4