Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249918           1           4          60          34           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124135           1           1          62          32           4        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   1.75422e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.50        2.50       53.75       37.75        5.50     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      X4.5