Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247049           2          13          56          23           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119696           1           5          61          30           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.39988e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.50        9.50       51.00       31.75        6.25     C6.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9