Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242651           2          14          62          19           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110928           3           8          66          14           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   9.89451e-07           1           0          35          55           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        7.75       55.50       29.00        6.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9