Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247242           2           9          62          22           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119858           1           5          60          31           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.42054e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.25        3.75       51.25       36.50        7.25     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.9