Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251457           1           3          64          29           3        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127884           2           3          62          30           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.74234e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            93           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.00        1.75       56.25       34.75        6.25     C7.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7