Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252678           1           0          67          27           5        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00130956           2           2          65          27           4        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   1.87035e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.00        0.75       58.00       33.25        7.00     C7.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7