Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00256737           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00137161           1           0          63          32           4        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   2.39434e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           127           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       51.25       39.50        7.50     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      X7.1