Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00271210           1           2          60          33           4        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00156122           1           3          64          30           2        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   4.33318e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.50        1.50       51.50       39.25        7.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4