Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255939           1           3          65          27           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00131035           2           2          65          27           4        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   2.62916e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.25        1.75       53.25       36.50        7.25     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2