Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248585           1           3          59          34           3        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119438           1           5          62          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.81130e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.25        2.25       51.00       38.75        6.75     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1