Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248696           1           4          59          34           2        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119709           1           5          61          30           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.88103e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00        3.25       52.50       37.25        6.00     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7