Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245130           4          15          50          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114235           3           3          73          18           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.43472e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             2.25        4.75       51.50       33.75        7.75     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7