Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244110           3          14          53          24           6        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112266           4           6          66          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.33233e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             2.25        5.25       50.50       33.25        8.75     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.4