Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245602           3          16          52          22           7        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113399           3           4          69          20           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.54751e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.75        6.00       53.50       31.75        7.00     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1