Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249664           1           3          64          31           1        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120118           1           4          63          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.14745e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.50        3.50       54.25       35.75        6.00     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0