Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249876           1           3          61          34           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122175           1           3          65          27           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.85281e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.50        3.50       51.25       38.75        6.00     C7.8
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1