Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253211           1           0          65          29           5        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126397           2           3          62          31           2        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   2.28144e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           132           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       51.00       40.00        7.25     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      X1.8