Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257814           2           6          60          28           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00135418           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.71505e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           148           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.50       50.25       39.75        7.50     C9.1
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2