Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253468           1           0          67          27           5        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128274           2           2          63          30           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   2.11562e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           134           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       51.75       39.25        7.50     C8.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1