Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00260317           3           3          62          28           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139447           1           0          61          33           5        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   2.93596e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           115           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             1.25        0.75       49.50       40.75        7.75     C9.3
 
realized                                                                                      M5.5