Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263756           1           5          62          30           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143920           1           1          60          32           6        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.46750e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           132           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.75       49.75       40.50        7.50     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M4.1