Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265000           1           4          62          31           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00145000           1           1          60          33           5        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   1.20538e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             1.50        8.50       51.75       32.50        5.75     C6.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6