Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265000           1           4          62          31           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00145000           1           1          60          33           5        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   1.13226e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             0.50        3.00       53.75       36.75        6.00     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7