Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248781           1           4          59          34           2        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120830           1           4          62          29           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.61631e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.50        3.25       53.50       37.00        5.75     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0