Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247169           2          11          59          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119091           1           6          61          30           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.42861e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.00        5.25       51.25       35.75        6.75     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1