Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248245           1           5          60          31           3        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123070           1           0          66          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.68387e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             0.75        1.50       56.50       35.00        6.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1