Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249656           1           3          64          31           1        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127336           2           3          60          32           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.61208e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           104           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.00        2.00       53.50       37.75        5.75     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0