Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245663           3          15          53          22           7        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120887           1           4          63          28           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.23259e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        6.50       48.75       36.00        7.50     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5