Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246168           2          15          53          23           7        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121567           1           4          65          27           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.32789e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.00        7.00       49.50       35.50        7.00     C7.8
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1