Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247870           1           5          62          28           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123898           1           1          62          32           4        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   1.55751e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.25        1.75       51.75       38.00        7.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.2