Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243707           3          13          55          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116318           3           1          72          23           1        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.16112e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.75        6.00       53.75       31.75        5.75     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4