Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241992           2          15          62          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112609           3           4          66          19           8        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.04750e-06           1           0          28          58          13        M1.7
est. ISN   =            75           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        7.25       51.50       32.25        7.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M6.7