Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241168           3          13          66          16           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111347           3           8          64          16           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   9.93600e-07           1           0          33          56          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.00        7.25       57.50       27.75        5.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M2.2