Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244491           4          14          54          23           5        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116995           3           2          67          26           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.31390e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.25        5.75       53.50       32.75        5.75     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.1